Since I do not have a lot of time this morning, I thought I'd give a very brief and unprofessional outlook for today. So, both this morning's RUC and last night's 00 UTC 4.5 km WRF run do not provide much indication of any hope for a good storm chase in the Red River region today. RUC and NAM from this morning show the system really setting up further to the northeast from last night's run and show a cap that is nearly impossible to overcome over the previously mentioned target area. In other word's, it comes as no surprise that last night's model runs were once again different than what the following runs would show. Given that the best case scenarios are marginal and today's outlook is dismal, I'm apt to say today is a bust over southern OK. More large-scale, heavy-rain producing convective systems should form to the northeast of the original target area, as expected. This will add more water to areas that are flood prone. As for the snow over southern WI and northern IL, the forecast shows a mixture of rain and snow. It is not looking like a substantial winter storm.
C.R. 9:35 am.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment